"Romney Maintains Poll Momentum"
by Nate Silver
The New York Times
October 6th, 2012
In this article, Nate Silver talks about Romney's recent improvements in many of the polls, especially after the Presidential debate in Denver. Before the debate on Wednesday, Romney had a 15% chance of winning the Electoral College, it jumped to 20% on Thursday. Silver reports that he'll have a good chance of winning if he keeps improving over the next couple of days. There were five nation tracking polls that were published on Saturday, including the Gallup poll, the RAND Corporation online tracking poll, and Rassmussen report. Four out of these five either showed Romney leading Obama, or major improvements in his numbers. Many of these polls referred to likely voters. Considering the polls were for swing voters and they were reporting from the day right after the debate, it was said that the they were very sensitive, explaining Romney's remarkable gains. Silver says it's still too soon to tell how long Romney's improvement s will last.
This article shows how each candidates' performance at the debate affected their numbers in the polls, and how much swing voters can really impact the election as a whole. Silver doesn't seem to take a clear stance, but might be leaning towards Romney.
URL: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/06/oct-6-romney-maintains-poll-momentum/
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